Jan Mandel/Blog/2010 Oct Nov

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These are mostly notes from our regular meetings. See also


Contents

October 4, 2010

WRF-Fire: FireFlux movies

The W-sideview.mov is the DVR visualization of the vertical component of the wind and it's colormap (from a different viewpoint) can be seen here: W-backview.png. Blue/violet colors mean that the wind is blowing up, yellow/green means down. The opacity for values around zero has been decreased so the velocities around zero are transparent.

The P.mov is the DVR visualization of the variable P (the perturbation pressure) and it's colormap can be seen here: P.png.

CCM Colloquium: The Fourmile Canyon fire

Data assimilation seminar

CVS repository daseminar

  • I have set up a new CVS repository for papers and such, see instructions how to contribute. The repository is exported to the web hourly. The old dddas03 repository is being retired and it will soon be read only. I will select and transfer relevant files and directories. Please let me know if you want something copied rather than just commit a copy of an old file, because I can copy files including the history.
    • Do we want subdirectories in references for papers in subject areas: fire, epidemics, data assimilation. Why not? Can soft link papers that fall in more than one category.
    • Ashok's way of naming fulltext files by author title vs mine by bibtex key Name-YYYY-ABC. What is better?
    • Loren proposed making entry on the wiki and link to fulltext.
    • Why not generate links from the bibtex files? Jon generated bibtex links years ago, would need some scripting to add clickable links to pdf on the html version of the bibtex file. See also How to write BibTeX files.

October 6, 2010

WRF-Fire

  • Janice objects to me listing myself as leading the WRF-Fire software development. We'll need to figure out what the structure is. Also in the same edit, I'd like to get Kara's code mentioned with the improvement to ignition.
  • Jon has added more to Visualization in Google Earth and I have copied the page to openwfm:Visualization in Google Earth with redirect from openwfm:How to visualize WRF-Fire output in Google Earth. Wrf-fire-google-earth.jpg
  • Volodymyr cleaned up some the fuel code, standalone tests OK but now getting NaNs in gfortran though not pgf90. Maybe this merge with master is to blame. Still needs to remove prints. To verify the problem, printed after fuel_left, got fuel_frac_end(410,198)=NaN.
    • Try setting in fuel_left fuel_frac(410,198) the value early on and see if it changes.
    • Find the exact commit where it happens first.
    • Try valgrind to catch access to uninitialized memory.
  • Ignition: Replaying history from ignition times as level set function done two weeks ago but I have made no progress since then, need to think more.
    • Need to add reading the ignition times from a file in ideal.exe
    • Tool to convert a fire perimeter in a shapefile to ignition times/level set function - the next project for Volodymyr.
    • Jon added lfn_hist to wrfinput as 3D as I asked... but turns out I need only 2D, embarassing. Still trying to figure out how to take advantage of the extra dimension - several igntions?
    • Ignition can be of 2 types: advancing the fire during the ignition, or not. When replaying history, clearly not. But how about taking advantage of the extra dimension to do gradual ignition?
    • It may be easier to do gradual ignition by imposing ignition times/level set function in a variant of existing code.
  • Other things to do in the coming week:
    • Jon - continue on Meadow Creek fire, document for wrfhelp
    • Bedrich - annotate the movie files, include jpegs, explain colors; see about something as in Norton-2009-AVH. Save VAPOR sessions. All pictures and movies will need to be redone when Adam finalizes the FireFlux simulation.

October 7, 2010

YouTube

October 11

Welcome Nina

October 13

WRF-Fire

October 18, 2010

Data assimilation seminar

October 25

Data assimilation seminar

  • Cholera epidemic in Haiti

October 27

WRF-Fire

  • Jon reported instability also in the Harmanli fire. I have now rerun the case and eventually got vertical cfl violation at one corner of domain Wqf.png, consistent with his result. Is this perhaps an outflow boundary condition and Euler equations issue?
  • Debugging fuel integration: violation of the condition that fuel fraction should be between 0 and 1, is 1.02. Is this just rounding error? To find out, try computation inside the subroutine in double precision. Try to adjust the quadrature of the exponential function - is the crossover to Taylor explansion set correctly for single precision?

October 28, 2010

NCAR MMM seminar: Aime Fournier

November 8, 2010

Data assimilation seminar

  • Jonathan Beezley, Local versions of the ensemble Kalman filter
  • Background:
    • Jeffrey L. Anderson. An ensemble adjustment Kalman filter for data assimilation. Monthly Weather Review, 129:2884–2903, 2001. local link
    • Jeffrey L. Anderson. A local least squares framework for ensemble filtering. Monthly Weather Review, 131:634–642, 2003. local link
    • Edward Ott, Brian R. Hunt, Istvan Szunyogh, Aleksey V. Zimin, Eric J. Kostelich, Matteo Corazza, Eugenia Kalnay, D.J. Patil, and James A. Yorke. A local ensemble Kalman filter for atmospheric data assimilation. Tellus, 56A:415–428, 2004. local link
    • Pavel Sakov and Laurent Bertino. Relation between two common localisation methods for the EnKF. Computational Geosciences, 1-13, 2010. local link

November 11, 2010

NCAR MMM Seminar: Yann Michel

November 15, 2010

Data assimilation seminar: Aimé Fournier

November 29, 2010

Data assimilation seminar: Loren Cobb

  • Bayesian Tracking on Riemannian Manifolds
    • Background: Monte Carlo Tracking on the Riemannian Manifold of Multivariate Normal Distributions, by Snoussi & Richard, IEEE DSP-2009, 04-07, January 2009 (invited paper).
    • Main idea: When the model restricts the data to a differentiable manifold, then statistics can be defined intrinsically (on the surface of the manifold) rather than in the usual extrinsic form (within the larger space in which the manifold is embedded).
    • Essential concept: Geodesic distances on the manifold can be defined via the manifold's family of inner products (the tangent space at each point on the manifold has its own inner product).
    • Recent results suggest that all of classical statistical estimation can be expressed intrinsically on smooth Riemannian manifolds.
    • Optimization, e.g. the method of steepest descent, can also be defined on Riemannian manifolds.
    • "Simple" application: Kalman tracking of an object in elliptical orbit.
    • Interesting application: Tracking a covariance matrix on the manifold of positive definite matrices, using a particle filter.

November 29 - December 3: IMA Workshop

IMA Workshop Numerical Solutions of Partial Differential Equations: Fast Solution Techniques in IMA Thematic Year on Simulating Our Complex World: Modeling, Computation and Analysis

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